Political Predictions

Last week I made the following predictions about the NC and IN primary elections...

NC

Obama 55
Clinton 45


IN

Obama 52
Clinton 48

The actual results were...

NC

Obama 56
Clinton 42


IN

Obama 49.5
Clinton 50.5


I did very well in NC, the differences are due mostly to the fact that I did not account for the other (very minor) candidates on the ballot. They took a couple points out of the total.

In IN, I knew it would be tight but thought that a late surge by Obama would carry the day. It did not.


So now it is on to WV.

My prediction...

Clinton 65
Obama 35


Obama loses by thirty-- maybe even more.

Does it matter?

No. The nomination has already been decided. Obama will face McCain in the fall.

Clinton gets a late in the game touchdown that doesn't even come close to changing the outcome.


Let's see how it goes!